East Africa Regional Profile
Uganda
Sensitive Rain Seasons
- Second wet season (September–December): Strongly correlated with El Niño; excessive runoff swells Lake Victoria and triggers mountain landslides.
- First wet season (March–May): Primary bimodal season; receives heavy rains with variable ENSO teleconnections.
Primary Environmental Hazards
- • Frequent landslides and mudflows in the Mount Elgon (Bududa) and Rwenzori regions
- • Flash flooding in Kampala’s poorly drained low-lying urban wetland valleys
- • Rising Lake Victoria shoreline waters displacing riparian settlements
- • Post-harvest grain storage spoilage and increased road haulage disruptions
Current 2026–27 El Niño Context for Uganda
Given current atmospheric coupling and positive SST anomalies in the Pacific, Uganda must prepare for heightened landslide hazards in eastern highlands and municipal runoff emergencies in late 2026.
Major Monitored River Basins in Uganda
Lake Victoria / Victoria Nile
0.42° N, 33.20° EOutflow into the White Nile regulated at Jinja; major lake basin catchment.
Manafwa River
0.95° N, 34.25° ESteep catchment off Mt Elgon prone to sudden catastrophic mudflows.
Monitored Cities in Uganda
Select any city below for real-time temperature, 7-day rainfall forecasts, and live flood risk score:
Kampala
0.3° N, 32.6° EEntebbe
0.1° N, 32.5° EJinja
0.4° N, 33.2° EMbale
1.1° N, 34.2° EGulu
2.8° N, 32.3° EMbarara
0.6° S, 30.7° EKasese
0.2° N, 30.1° EHistorical El Niño Events in Uganda
1997–98 Event
Substantial rise in Lake Victoria levels and widespread flooding throughout the eastern lowlands.
2023–24 Event
Heavy rainfall caused landslides in Bududa district and disruption across urban Kampala corridors.