Philippines
Sensitive Rain Seasons
- Amihan / Dry season (November–April): Rainfall is significantly below normal across majority of provinces during El Niño.
- Habagat / Southwest monsoon (May–October): Can still feature extreme tropical cyclone rain events even during overall dry years.
Primary Environmental Hazards
- • Severe agricultural drought impacting rice and corn production across Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao
- • Critically low water elevations in major reservoirs such as Angat Dam, threatening Metro Manila supplies
- • Increased risk of bushfires and forest fires in elevated highland cordilleras
- • Elevated temperatures and heat index warnings during the dry-hot season
Current 2026–27 El Niño Context for Philippines
The strengthening 2026–27 El Niño indicates emerging dry spell conditions and declining reservoir inflows heading into early 2027.
Major Monitored River Basins in Philippines
Pampanga River Basin
15.00° N, 120.75° EMajor agricultural basin in Central Luzon; vital for national grain production.
Pasig-Marikina Basin
14.58° N, 121.05° EDense urban drainage basin across Metro Manila prone to rapid river crests.
Monitored Cities in Philippines
Select any city below for real-time temperature, 7-day rainfall forecasts, and live flood risk score:
Manila
14.6° N, 121.0° EQuezon City
14.7° N, 121.0° EDavao City
7.2° N, 125.5° ECebu City
10.3° N, 123.9° EZamboanga City
6.9° N, 122.1° ECagayan de Oro
8.5° N, 124.6° EBaguio
16.4° N, 120.6° EHistorical El Niño Events in Philippines
1997–98 Event
Over 70% of the country experienced severe drought, with Angat Dam dropping below critical operating levels.
2015–16 Event
Agricultural damage exceeded hundreds of millions of dollars across central and southern provinces.
2023–24 Event
Severe heat indexes and water rationing impacted Metro Manila and agricultural provinces.