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El Niño in Mozambique

Mozambique experiences a marked north-south divergence during El Niño: southern and central provinces frequently suffer from drought, while northern river basins can experience erratic, intense storm runoff.

Southern Africa Regional Profile

Mozambique

Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INAM)

Sensitive Rain Seasons

  • Wet & Cyclone Season (November–April): South is prone to drought; tropical cyclone activity in the Mozambique channel can still bring catastrophic isolated floods.

Primary Environmental Hazards

  • • Agricultural drought and pasture failure in southern provinces (Gaza, Inhambane, Maputo)
  • • Fluctuations in Cahora Bassa reservoir discharge on the Zambezi River
  • • Heightened food insecurity and malnutrition across southern rural districts
  • • Flash flooding when tropical disturbances interact with warm Indian Ocean anomalies

Current 2026–27 El Niño Context for Mozambique

Southern Mozambique enters the 2026–27 rainy season with heightened drought probabilities, demanding proactive water conservation along the Limpopo and Incomati valleys.

Major Monitored River Basins in Mozambique

Limpopo River Basin

24.53° S, 33.02° E

Agricultural heartland in Gaza Province centered around Chokwe.

Zambezi River Lower Delta

18.00° S, 36.00° E

Major international drainage flowing into the Indian Ocean.

Monitored Cities in Mozambique

Select any city below for real-time temperature, 7-day rainfall forecasts, and live flood risk score:

Historical El Niño Events in Mozambique

2015–16 Event

Prolonged dry conditions in southern provinces led to extensive livestock deaths and crop desiccation.

2023–24 Event

Significant mid-season drought impacted maize cultivation in southern Mozambique.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How does El Niño affect Mozambique?

Mozambique experiences a marked north-south divergence during El Niño: southern and central provinces frequently suffer from drought, while northern river basins can experience erratic, intense storm runoff.

Which river basins in Mozambique are most flood-prone during El Niño?

Key monitored drainage areas include Limpopo River Basin, Zambezi River Lower Delta.

Where can I get official emergency weather alerts for Mozambique?

Official warnings are issued by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INAM) (https://inam.gov.mz/).